Did you ever notice that political polls are very predictable?
A year or so before the election, there are huge (20 – 30 point) differences between whatever candidate the poll is looking at.
As the election gets closer, the differences between the two candidates become smaller and smaller until just prior to the election, many times there are less than a percentage point, or the race is “too close to call”
I would like to think that the electorate just doesn’t really care all that much or make up their mind, except for the few zealots who made their mind up even before the candidates were nominated.
However, as much as I would like to think that, I really think that the polls are trying to drive the results, rather than report them, then at the end of the election cycle, they start being more accurate so as to keep any semblance of propriety. Then you actually find where the race really is.
Look back and you will see that most of the elections in our lifetime (Except Reagan v. Carter) have been one point races.
Just one other question. Have you ever been polled?